On Tuesday morning, Lane was positioned 450 miles south-southeast of Kona, tracking west at 12 mph. This does not mean a direct hit is likely at the moment, but impacts from the storm appear more likely with most recent data.
Heavy rainfall associated with Lane is expected to affect portions of the Hawaiian Islands from Wednesday into the weekend, leading to flash flooding and landslides.
"The centre of Lane will track dangerously close to, or over the islands Thursday through Saturday", a warning statement read.
A swell generated by Lane could bring very large and rough surf and risky rip currents for south- and southeast-facing shores, the weather service said.
Although it is not certain whether the storm, packing peak winds of 150 miles per hour, will directly strike the islands or just graze them, significant effects from rain, wind and waves are becoming increasingly likely.
Unfortunately NOAA's "hurricane hunter" aircraft that flies through the center of the storm had to be grounded Tuesday morning, as it needed to be examined after "encountering strong turbulence last night" when flying through Lane, according to NOAA.
Hawaii Gov. David Ige signed an emergency proclamation on Tuesday in anticipation of the storm, which would provide relief for disaster damages, losses and suffering as a result of the hurricane.
The Big Island itself has only had 14 system on record pass within a one hundred mile radius.
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Hawaii Island.
Which other Hawaiian islands are at risk?
NASA satellite imagery shows the hurricane is now in the Central Pacific Ocean southeast of the islands. The water between the west coast of Mexico and Hawaii tends to trend slightly colder, thanks to cold ocean currents that run down the west coast of North America and upwelling of deep ocean waters.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric administration has been sending multiple aircraft into and around the storm in order to help observe the hurricane and improve the forecast, providing a better idea of the threat Lane presents to Hawaii. "Hurricane Lane is not a well-behaved hurricane". Notice how they are largely clustered to the south and southeast of the state.
The forecast track will likely change some over the coming days as Lane interacts with the surrounding atmosphere and the impact from the friction that is caused as Lane nears the islands, namely the Big Island's mountains.
Sea surface temperatures over the central Pacific.